I want to predict the outcome of a run scored in a baseball game in the 1st inning Yes or No.
I created a spreadsheet with the variables i plan on using.
awayL3% homeL3% awayh2h% homeh2h% awayscore% awayscoreallow% homescore% homescoreallow% outcome
those are columns i have created.
the information will always be different as there are multiple games daily and different pitchers as well.
I am trying to predict if there will be a run scored in the 1st inning of each game.
here is an example of stats i have.
Matz away pitcher last 3 years is 25-13 (NO) 25 times scoreless - 13 times a run allowed.
vs dodgers away last 3 years, 2 starts, no runs allowed either start
Dodgers score 37.04 % of the time in 1st inning and Mets allow a run 35.85 % of the time.
Rich Hill is 33-11 at home last 3 years 33 times no runs allowed 11 times a run allowed. 2 starts vs Mets and he's allowed a run 1 game and 1 game didnt al allow a run.
Mets score 24.53 % of the time and Dodgers allow a run 29.63 % of the time in the 1st.
how can i predict the outcome of this with logistic regression
Hello there, With my experience, I can assure you that I can predict the outcomes with logistic regression and also other ML algorithms. Feel free to message me. Thanks for reading this :)
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We can Easily use the logistic regression in this by the use of native logarithmic cost function and then applying gradient descent to update the parameters